Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Steel 50.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 90.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Toews
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Toews
Steel
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
49.7% (638)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
60.3% (63)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
42.4% (33)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Toews
Steel
Home
56.6% (709)
47.3% (349)
Away
58.0% (785)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Toews
Steel
P1
60.4%
51.2%
P2
57.6%
49.8%
P3
54.3%
50.0%
OT
59.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |