Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Steel 48.8% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 85.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 79.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Toews
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
49.5% (553)
+11.6%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
61.3% (31)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
30.6% (49)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Toews
Steel
Home
64.8% (560)
46.4% (347)
Away
60.6% (381)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Toews
Steel
P1
62.3%
52.1%
P2
63.9%
49.8%
P3
62.8%
45.2%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
63.1%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |