Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Steel 50.2% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Toews
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Toews
Steel
Last 10: Toews 5-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
3
Toews
Steel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
1
Toews
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Toews
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
50.6% (2,876)
+6.6%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
62.6% (179)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
37.4% (254)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Toews
Steel
Home
59.7% (9,192)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Toews
Steel
P1
58.6%
51.9%
P2
57.8%
49.5%
P3
57.3%
49.6%
OT
58.9%
41.9%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 00:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |