Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Kuraly 53.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 87.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 63.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Toews
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Kuraly
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Toews
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
54.5% (464)
+2.0%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
0.0% (1)
+59.7%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
50.0% (66)
+1.0%
On power play, Toews has a +59.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Toews
Kuraly
Home
56.6% (927)
52.3% (281)
Away
56.0% (953)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Toews
Kuraly
P1
56.3%
56.0%
P2
55.8%
60.8%
P3
57.3%
44.3%
OT
48.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |