Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 77.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Toews
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Toews
Kuraly
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
9
1
Toews
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
7
Toews
Kuraly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
49.2% (901)
+11.9%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
68.2% (22)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
49.8% (219)
+9.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Toews
Kuraly
Home
64.8% (560)
51.7% (603)
Away
60.6% (381)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Toews
Kuraly
P1
62.3%
50.9%
P2
63.9%
49.5%
P3
62.8%
49.1%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |