Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Hertl 51.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 84.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 83.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Toews
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Toews
Hertl
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Hertl
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Toews
Hertl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
51.7% (869)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
55.7% (176)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
44.9% (138)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Toews
Hertl
Home
56.6% (927)
51.8% (583)
Away
56.0% (953)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Toews
Hertl
P1
56.3%
52.5%
P2
55.8%
50.9%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
OT
48.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:45 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |