Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 20-4 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 86.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Toews
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
4
(24 meetings)
20
4
Toews
Hertl
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
9
2
Toews
Hertl
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
0
Toews
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
51.6% (1,084)
+6.4%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
61.0% (246)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
44.1% (136)
+7.6%
On power play, Toews has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Toews
Hertl
Home
59.3% (637)
55.2% (696)
Away
58.7% (699)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Toews
Hertl
P1
61.5%
55.4%
P2
55.2%
54.8%
P3
60.0%
48.9%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | OT | 01:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |