Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Hertl 54.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 77.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Toews
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Toews
Hertl
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
6
1
Toews
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
54.7% (570)
+1.2%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
55.2% (143)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
54.5% (77)
+1.4%
On power play, Toews has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Toews
Hertl
Home
56.6% (709)
56.2% (379)
Away
58.0% (785)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Toews
Hertl
P1
60.4%
53.4%
P2
57.6%
52.7%
P3
54.3%
57.6%
OT
59.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |