Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Seguin 46.6% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 89.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 80.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Toews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Toews
Seguin
Last 7: Toews 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Toews
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
43.0% (86)
+15.5%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
47.4% (19)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
0.0% (1)
+55.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Toews is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Toews shoots left. Seguin is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Toews
Seguin
Home
63.0% (567)
48.9% (47)
Away
55.8% (570)
39.0% (59)
By Period
Toews
Seguin
P1
59.6%
41.9%
P2
58.2%
32.3%
P3
60.7%
53.3%
OT
52.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |