Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Toews
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Toews
Seguin
Last 7: Toews 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Toews
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
56.5% (712)
+1.5%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
59.7% (67)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
44.9% (49)
+6.8%
On power play, Toews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Toews
Seguin
Home
59.3% (637)
58.5% (402)
Away
58.7% (699)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Toews
Seguin
P1
61.5%
58.4%
P2
55.2%
54.7%
P3
60.0%
54.1%
OT
70.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |