Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Staal 57.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 64.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.8%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.2%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Cirelli
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Staal
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Cirelli
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (372)
57.2% (780)
-7.5%
Power Play
59.5% (37)
71.3% (171)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
37.7% (53)
45.5% (132)
-7.8%
On power play, Staal has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cirelli is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Cirelli shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Staal
Home
47.5% (217)
57.6% (566)
Away
50.6% (245)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Cirelli
Staal
P1
55.0%
55.6%
P2
44.8%
58.5%
P3
46.2%
60.6%
OT
80.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |