Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.6% vs Staal 54.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Rodrigues
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Staal
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Rodrigues
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (224)
54.2% (943)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
69.6% (79)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
50.8% (262)
-2.8%
On power play, Staal has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
46.2% (130)
55.0% (593)
Away
47.2% (127)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
50.0%
54.3%
P2
46.8%
53.5%
P3
43.2%
55.2%
OT
33.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | OT | 00:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |