Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.3% vs Staal 58.4% (-19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
Barbashev
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barbashev
Staal
Last 7: Barbashev 4-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Barbashev
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
1
Barbashev
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (196)
59.1% (888)
-18.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
66.9% (121)
-29.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
52.6% (156)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barbashev is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Barbashev shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Staal
Home
49.4% (89)
61.2% (600)
Away
33.1% (118)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Barbashev
Staal
P1
34.3%
57.5%
P2
39.7%
60.1%
P3
46.6%
59.1%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
35.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
40.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |