Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.4% vs Staal 54.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
2
Miller
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Miller
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (526)
56.2% (939)
+5.2%
Power Play
65.3% (118)
66.9% (139)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (62)
43.5% (239)
+3.3%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
61.8% (351)
55.4% (663)
Away
59.7% (355)
54.7% (654)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
58.5%
54.9%
P2
64.0%
55.1%
P3
59.6%
54.0%
OT
57.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.8%
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |