Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Staal 54.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 53.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Miller
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Miller
Staal
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Miller
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Miller
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
54.2% (943)
+4.2%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
69.6% (79)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
50.8% (262)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Miller is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Miller shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Miller
Staal
Home
58.7% (390)
55.0% (593)
Away
59.8% (328)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Miller
Staal
P1
59.5%
54.3%
P2
61.6%
53.5%
P3
56.4%
55.2%
OT
46.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
64.8%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | OT | 04:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |