Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Benn wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 55.0% vs Staal 57.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 66.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 59.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Benn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
24
(42 meetings)
18
24
Benn
Staal
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
6
Benn
Staal
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
14
Benn
Staal
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
6
4
Benn
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (366)
57.2% (780)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (88)
71.3% (171)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (24)
45.5% (132)
+8.7%
On power play, Staal has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Benn is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Benn shoots left. Staal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Home / Away
Benn
Staal
Home
55.9% (254)
57.6% (566)
Away
56.3% (224)
58.4% (517)
By Period
Benn
Staal
P1
56.6%
55.6%
P2
55.6%
58.5%
P3
54.1%
60.6%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |