Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Staal 57.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 52.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 55.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Pageau
Staal
Last 10: Pageau 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Pageau
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Pageau
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Pageau
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
58.9% (1,096)
-1.8%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
68.4% (57)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
51.8% (222)
-3.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
57.0% (618)
57.0% (646)
Away
53.9% (607)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
54.4%
55.9%
P2
61.0%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
62.0%
OT
50.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2023 | OT | 01:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |