Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Staal 56.8% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 90.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.5%
Neutral zone
Skinner 74.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Skinner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Skinner
Staal
Last 8: Skinner 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Skinner
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Skinner
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
58.9% (1,041)
-21.4%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
53.4% (73)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.1% (171)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Skinner is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Skinner shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Skinner
Staal
Home
41.5% (130)
59.0% (578)
Away
39.4% (94)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Skinner
Staal
P1
32.9%
57.1%
P2
47.1%
60.9%
P3
40.6%
55.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |