Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Staal 57.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 68.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 64.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Veleno
Staal
Last 7: Veleno 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Veleno
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Veleno
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Veleno
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
58.9% (1,096)
-10.5%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
68.4% (57)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
51.8% (222)
-7.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
48.8% (289)
57.0% (646)
Away
49.2% (333)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
46.1%
55.9%
P2
50.9%
55.4%
P3
49.7%
62.0%
OT
66.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
52.7%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |