Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 77.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 88.5%
Neutral zone
Veleno 81.2%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Veleno
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
20
(32 meetings)
12
20
Veleno
Staal
Last 10: Veleno 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
9
Veleno
Staal
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Veleno
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
6
7
Veleno
Staal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
55.9% (14,620)
-8.5%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
62.7% (1,745)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
48.0% (2,896)
-11.6%
On power play, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Veleno
Staal
Home
45.3% (1,136)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Veleno
Staal
P1
48.0%
55.2%
P2
47.7%
55.9%
P3
45.9%
54.9%
OT
35.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |