Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Domi 53.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 72.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.3%
Neutral zone
Domi 60.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Staal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Staal
Domi
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
6
Staal
Domi
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
3
Staal
Domi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
4
Staal
Domi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
53.8% (847)
+2.5%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
52.1% (96)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
57.1% (7)
-5.0%
On power play, Staal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Staal
Domi
Home
58.3% (705)
53.9% (445)
Away
53.3% (769)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Staal
Domi
P1
54.5%
51.4%
P2
58.2%
55.3%
P3
54.1%
54.7%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |