Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Domi 50.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 78.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Domi 62.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Staal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Staal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Staal
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Staal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
49.7% (499)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
56.8% (44)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
0.0% (1)
+45.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Staal
Domi
Home
54.3% (667)
51.0% (298)
Away
54.7% (662)
49.2% (246)
By Period
Staal
Domi
P1
56.2%
54.8%
P2
57.0%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
46.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Max Domi |