Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Domi 50.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 79.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 55.1%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Staal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Staal
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
49.7% (394)
+9.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
51.7% (58)
+16.7%
On power play, Staal has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Staal
Domi
Home
57.0% (646)
53.2% (235)
Away
59.1% (729)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Staal
Domi
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
55.4%
46.6%
P3
62.0%
49.6%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Max Domi |