Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Domi 50.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 64.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 57.0%
Neutral zone
Domi 63.2%
Result
Max Domi favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Staal
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Domi
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Staal
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Domi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
3
Staal
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
50.4% (254)
+5.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
59.3% (27)
+7.6%
On power play, Staal has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Staal
Domi
Home
55.4% (663)
50.0% (174)
Away
54.4% (676)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Staal
Domi
P1
55.1%
45.7%
P2
54.7%
51.5%
P3
53.9%
57.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 2 | 17:40 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Max Domi |