Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.1% vs Zibanejad 47.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 77.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Staal
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (662)
46.7% (285)
+3.0%
Power Play
61.2% (103)
45.6% (57)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (149)
0.0% (1)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
50.0% (446)
45.4% (163)
Away
50.2% (468)
47.2% (180)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
50.0%
43.7%
P2
49.5%
48.6%
P3
50.5%
46.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |