Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 57.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Staal
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Staal
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.9% (870)
+4.1%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
53.5% (43)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
46.2% (143)
-1.1%
On power play, Staal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
54.3% (667)
55.1% (501)
Away
54.7% (662)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
56.2%
57.5%
P2
57.0%
50.7%
P3
49.7%
47.9%
OT
68.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |