Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 50.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
21
(44 meetings)
23
21
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
10
Staal
Zibanejad
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
3
Staal
Zibanejad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
8
Staal
Zibanejad
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
54.0% (955)
+4.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
55.6% (243)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
35.0% (140)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
59.0% (578)
55.2% (656)
Away
55.9% (707)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
57.1%
56.3%
P2
60.9%
50.0%
P3
55.8%
51.2%
OT
20.8%
52.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |