Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 54.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Staal
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Zibanejad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
50.9% (913)
+8.0%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
59.0% (39)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
37.5% (160)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
57.0% (646)
51.1% (536)
Away
59.1% (729)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
55.9%
50.1%
P2
55.4%
47.3%
P3
62.0%
50.7%
OT
70.4%
45.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |