Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Staal
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Staal
Zibanejad
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Zibanejad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
53.4% (770)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
46.2% (39)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
44.7% (141)
-1.7%
On power play, Staal has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Staal
Zibanejad
Home
55.4% (663)
49.0% (429)
Away
54.4% (676)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Staal
Zibanejad
P1
55.1%
53.0%
P2
54.7%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |