Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 79.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Staal
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Rantanen
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Staal
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Rantanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
50.9% (334)
+5.4%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
43.7% (119)
+17.5%
On power play, Staal has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Staal
Rantanen
Home
58.3% (705)
49.4% (241)
Away
53.3% (769)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Staal
Rantanen
P1
54.5%
47.1%
P2
58.2%
46.7%
P3
54.1%
51.9%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |