Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Rantanen 52.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 84.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Staal
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Staal
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Staal
Rantanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
55.3% (188)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
46.3% (67)
+11.4%
On power play, Staal has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Rantanen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Staal
Rantanen
Home
54.3% (667)
57.3% (143)
Away
54.7% (662)
47.3% (112)
By Period
Staal
Rantanen
P1
56.2%
47.8%
P2
57.0%
56.8%
P3
49.7%
54.5%
OT
68.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |