Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Rantanen 50.8% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Staal
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Staal
Rantanen
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
5
Staal
Rantanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
0
Staal
Rantanen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
51.0% (1,522)
+4.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.8% (484)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
14.3% (7)
+33.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Rantanen is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Staal
Rantanen
Home
56.4% (9,663)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Staal
Rantanen
P1
55.2%
49.0%
P2
55.9%
51.3%
P3
54.9%
51.8%
OT
56.2%
57.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 17, 2017 | OT | 01:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |