Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Rantanen 53.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 93.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 53.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Staal
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Staal
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Staal
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.7% (346)
+7.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
58.5% (164)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
0.0% (1)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Rantanen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Staal
Rantanen
Home
57.0% (646)
55.8% (258)
Away
59.1% (729)
51.8% (253)
By Period
Staal
Rantanen
P1
55.9%
50.0%
P2
55.4%
56.6%
P3
62.0%
54.3%
OT
70.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 08:33 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |