Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 88.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Bjugstad
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Bjugstad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
48.9% (280)
+7.2%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
50.0% (6)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
47.2% (36)
-4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
55.4% (663)
48.4% (190)
Away
54.4% (676)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
55.1%
41.7%
P2
54.7%
56.6%
P3
53.9%
48.7%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |