Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Staal
Bjugstad
Last 7: Staal 4-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Staal
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
49.4% (867)
+6.9%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
56.0% (25)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
40.7% (216)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
58.3% (705)
46.5% (480)
Away
53.3% (769)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
54.5%
48.7%
P2
58.2%
45.6%
P3
54.1%
49.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |