Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 84.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 60.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Staal
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Staal
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
46.7% (398)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
51.6% (31)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
62.5% (8)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
54.3% (667)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.7% (662)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
56.2%
46.1%
P2
57.0%
46.3%
P3
49.7%
50.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |