Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 78.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
50.7% (906)
+8.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
48.1% (108)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
44.4% (239)
+7.4%
On power play, Staal has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
57.0% (646)
49.8% (643)
Away
59.1% (729)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
55.9%
49.4%
P2
55.4%
50.5%
P3
62.0%
47.9%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |