Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 84.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Staal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Staal
Bjugstad
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
4
Staal
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
0
Staal
Bjugstad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Staal
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (750)
48.8% (467)
+7.9%
Power Play
62.5% (120)
53.4% (58)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (153)
60.0% (5)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Staal shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Staal
Bjugstad
Home
58.8% (522)
49.0% (261)
Away
52.7% (501)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Staal
Bjugstad
P1
60.8%
50.9%
P2
55.9%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
47.2%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |