Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Schmaltz
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Staal
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (943)
41.7% (338)
+12.5%
Power Play
69.6% (79)
47.1% (34)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (262)
75.0% (4)
-24.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
55.0% (593)
48.2% (166)
Away
54.0% (691)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
54.3%
42.1%
P2
53.5%
45.8%
P3
55.2%
41.4%
OT
58.6%
22.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |