Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
45.9% (665)
+10.2%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
46.8% (111)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
50.0% (24)
-7.0%
On power play, Staal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
55.4% (663)
44.7% (409)
Away
54.4% (676)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
55.1%
40.3%
P2
54.7%
47.6%
P3
53.9%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |