Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Schmaltz
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Staal
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
37.7% (53)
+18.6%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
40.9% (44)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
66.7% (3)
-14.6%
On power play, Staal has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
58.3% (705)
34.7% (49)
Away
53.3% (769)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
54.5%
25.9%
P2
58.2%
46.2%
P3
54.1%
42.1%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |