Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 95.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Staal
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
38.5% (309)
+20.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
53.2% (79)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
25.0% (12)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
57.0% (646)
38.0% (184)
Away
59.1% (729)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
55.9%
40.3%
P2
55.4%
39.9%
P3
62.0%
40.7%
OT
70.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |