Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 64.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
51.3% (1,096)
+7.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
59.9% (157)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
56.9% (58)
-5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
57.0% (646)
54.2% (638)
Away
59.1% (729)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
55.9%
51.5%
P2
55.4%
53.3%
P3
62.0%
52.4%
OT
70.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
63.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:52 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |