Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 37 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Suzuki 49.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 64-22 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 89.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
22
(86 meetings)
64
22
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
13
14
Staal
Suzuki
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
34
3
Staal
Suzuki
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
17
5
Staal
Suzuki
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
49.4% (6,327)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
50.7% (1,338)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
43.6% (456)
+4.4%
On power play, Staal has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
56.4% (9,663)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
55.2%
48.8%
P2
55.9%
49.1%
P3
54.9%
50.2%
OT
56.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |