Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 65.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 61.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Suzuki
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Staal
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
51.3% (904)
+4.8%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
49.8% (265)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
36.8% (57)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
55.4% (663)
50.6% (603)
Away
54.4% (676)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
55.1%
52.3%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
53.9%
51.1%
OT
70.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
57.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |