Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
5
Staal
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
0
Staal
Suzuki
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
52.4% (981)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
50.7% (304)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
36.4% (33)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
54.3% (667)
53.2% (645)
Away
54.7% (662)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
56.2%
48.9%
P2
57.0%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
54.9%
OT
68.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |