Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Krebs 45.9% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 83.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Staal
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Krebs
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Staal
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
45.5% (501)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
50.0% (20)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
37.1% (35)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Staal
Krebs
Home
58.3% (705)
43.9% (285)
Away
53.3% (769)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Staal
Krebs
P1
54.5%
45.4%
P2
58.2%
50.9%
P3
54.1%
39.7%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |