Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Krebs 49.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Staal
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Staal
Krebs
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
3
4
Staal
Krebs
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Krebs
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
49.5% (560)
+7.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
52.6% (38)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
43.3% (67)
+1.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Krebs is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Staal
Krebs
Home
54.3% (667)
49.4% (314)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Staal
Krebs
P1
56.2%
47.0%
P2
57.0%
50.5%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
OT
68.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |