Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Krebs 45.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 94.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 94.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 94.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Staal
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Staal
Krebs
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
5
6
Staal
Krebs
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
7
1
Staal
Krebs
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
46.0% (2,159)
+9.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
52.5% (99)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
38.6% (171)
+9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Staal
Krebs
Home
56.4% (9,663)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Staal
Krebs
P1
55.2%
45.9%
P2
55.9%
46.4%
P3
54.9%
44.8%
OT
56.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |