Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Krebs 45.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 68.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Staal
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Staal
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (955)
44.6% (388)
+11.5%
Power Play
66.9% (142)
25.0% (4)
+41.9%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (242)
45.0% (20)
-2.0%
On power play, Staal has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Staal shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Staal
Krebs
Home
55.4% (663)
46.8% (188)
Away
54.4% (676)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Staal
Krebs
P1
55.1%
47.2%
P2
54.7%
44.9%
P3
53.9%
41.1%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |